Predictive ..?

Ah, to add to the previous column: The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail – But Some Don’t by Nate Silver seems interesting. Though I fear that the conclusion will again be: “It’s not hopeless [it almost is, ed.] but if you work really, really hard, you may succeed in finding nuggets — whether or not they’re worth all the effort [I think: hardly, ed.].”

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