Clustering the future

Was clustering my themes for the future of this blog. Came up with:
Future trend subjects[Sizes, colours, or text sizes not very reflective of the attention the various subjects will get]
Low sophistication tool, eh? Never mind. Do mind, to comment. On the various things that would need to be added. As yes I know, I have left much out of the picture, for brevity purposes. But will want to hear whether I missed major things before I miss them, in next year’s posts. Thank you!
And, for the latter,
DSCN0924[Bah-t’yó! indeed]

To watch: Firebase

Was tipped via this article. Firebase to be the next thing. Promising, in its a tempo development; seems to be one element of what the world needs right now in terms of moving forward, innovation. Though maybe it may remain out of sight for most consumers, businesses may build a whole new, upgraded set of tools for users on top of this data handling platform.
And be better at using your data than just flat invasive (sic) analysis. The battle field will be compliance with (new) EU privacy regulations. E.g., re transparency of the controllers and processors; that will be a tad more difficult to pull off than now.

Though entirely your opinion on this development now being in the hands of Big G.

Anyway, again from here:
Tarrega[How many tourists would see this ..? Tar’ga Catalunya]

Wired / Tired / Expired, November 2014 edition

DSCN1324
[Weirdo’s – closing at 17:00h … doesn’t time melt for this artist, in this country (sic) …?]

Yes here’s the November edition of my Wired / Tired / Expired jargon watch overviews, a mixed bag again:

WIRED TIRED EXPIRED
Yik Yak, Ello, Tsu The other anons (?) Whatsapp et al
As in this, where as only the very old folks remember fubbuk started. And the other ones, here. Already not making it past the tipping point? I mean, where are Whisper / Kik / Telegram / WeChat / Line / Viber / Wicker / Threema / surespot ? And this, as elsewhere on this blog. Mehhh, as in the elsewhere mentioned on the left.
Poodle Beast Heartbleed
Because it’s “not much of an issue” as it affects end point consumers only … OUTRAGE! They are your customers, they are the huge numbers, they are the incapable to cure (also since a fraction of B2C’s doesn’t effing care). If only server-owning companies were the vulnerable, with their very few numbers, their resolution capacity, and their economic interests. Yeah, yeah, working on it. Really? Still?
Taking action Taking symbolic action Taking no action / denying any problems (tie)
E.g., by forking out another $250M, not just peanuts. Because pay the peanuts, get the monkeys. … Or is the previous still only window dressing ..? Maybe some, silent, action might’ve cost much less. Anyway, symbolic action will prove to be the infosec czar’s new clothes. Legally invalid. Demonstrating incapacity to function normally in today’s business world.
Docker Google Docs ‘Private cloud’
Just as in this, and this and this – since the latter two. Into the main stream. Dumb outsourced data center, virtual or not. With all the privacy ramifications, without scalability (!) or efficiencies.
IoT detailing ever further IoT! Mixed up with Wearables et al. Cloud, ROSI etc.etc.
This kind of details … And these. Pls learn to discriminate or you mess up the discussions. Which will be, at all levels of abstraction and everywhere, as under W. Totalitarian Bureaucrat talk.
Not caring
(to be seen)
Faux 1% philantropy Posing
Hanging out at http://www.beriestain.com/ for example, just among like-minded self-sufficients (for peace of mind, not needing external recognition). Clearly, this. Uggg-gh!

OK, any suggestions for next month’s edition ..?

Top 2000 or 2214 of 2014

OK … There it is: The definitive this year’s Top 2000.
Without argument or doubt, herewith…
First, downloadable in plain Excel, for your own tinker and play, in this file; checked and clean (no subversive content).
Next, a few little notes:

  • “That’s odd! The usual numbers 1 to 50 aren’t where they’re ‘supposed’ to be by common standards!” Correct. Because I‘m ‘Rekt. The list is mine; why put the Mehhh songs high up there? They’re in there somewhere, but its my list, my preferences..! yes I do like some almost-forgotten songs better, sometimes much, much better, than the expired old hands.
  • Especially.. see the notes, when the clip (much) enhances the song(s). Wouldn’t that mean the song in itself isn’t fully complete ..? No, it means in (since) the age of video, songs with clips (‘integrated’) can much surpass mere songs by themselves, for a cubed sensory experience.
  • There’s more than 2000 yes. Because, already after the first 500 or so, determining the relative rankings becomes awkward. Hence, the cut-off would be random …! (why not 2048, that would make more sense in this digital (i.e., binary) age).
  • If you would still have some (preferably wacky) songs you miss, please do comment them to me. I’ll see whether I’d want to include them still, or not. Hey, it’s my list so I decide, geddid?
  • When dabbling with the Excel file yourself, feel free to play around with the ranking mechanism. What worked for me, was to first split the songs into bins of about 250 size (designate some song to be in the first bin that will end up being ranks 1-250, another song to bin 5, which is around the 1000-1250 mark, etc.), then sizing down bin 1 etc. to 8 smaller bins. Then, numbers 1-50 get a personal treatment one by one to their end rank, the rest gets (got) a random allocation within their bracket. After this, sort and re-apply number 1-whatever. Through this, actual intermediate bin sizes aren’t too important.
  • Huh waddayakno, before the below is published, I have a Challenge for you: To give Frizzle Sizzle, Luv and Erik Mesie some rightful places. If you’re Dutch otherwise you might just not get it. Others, may include the B52’s somewhere; Love Shack. And DÖF’s Codo. ☺ and oops forgot Thomas Dolby.
  • [Edited to add: I’m now working on an extended list, with the How Could I Have Missed These!? so the total keeps rising. For next year’s list.]

Then, as a long, very long list. With a Moar tag otherwise it would be ridiculous… [i.e., for the complete list in the post, follow the link:]

Continue reading “Top 2000 or 2214 of 2014”

Rank Title Artist Notes
1 Hustle Vann McCoy Yes, the original
2 Easy Livin’ Uriah Heep To power it up
3 Heart Of Gold Neil Young Hits the heart
4 Hide and Seek Howard Jones Same, if you listen well
5 Peter Gunn Emerson Lake & Palmer Just for the intro alone
6 She Elvis Costello Personal nostaliga
7 White Room Cream Nicely powerful, doesn’t wear out too easily
8 74-’75 (+Video) Connells The video sublimates the message
9 Windowlicker (+Video) Aphex Twins Incomplete, as a work of art, without the video
10 Nice ‘n Slow Jesse Green Calm down again
11 One Of These Days Pink Floyd Hidden pearl
12 Smoke On The Water Deep Purple Of course
13 The Man With One Red Shoe (+Video) Laurent Garnier Incomplete, as a work of art, without the video
14 You’re So Vain Carly Simon I think this song is about me!
15 Dancing Barefoot Patti Smith Hidden treasure
16 Right Here Right Now Fatboy Slim Oft forgotten, defined an era
17 The Great Gig In The Sky Pink Floyd Appealing complexity
18 All I Need Air Mindfulness in musical form
19 Dream On Aerosmith Heartburn
20 You Got To Fight For Your Right to Party Beastie Boys Appealing. Simply that.
21 California Dreamin’ Mamas & The Papas

Players, sides, too many – where’s the (over)view?

Apart from the #ditchcyber aspects, in the (sometimes somewhat sportsy, even) battle about control, or is it temporary one-upmanship, over the world’s communications, so many parties play a role, in such varying sizes, and operating for so many sides, sometimes multiple sides at the same time, sometimes without even knowing that, with the interactions playing at various topics and levels of abstraction and with varying scopes, time horizons, strategies and plans (quality), I could really do with some clarity. Some mapping, interactive or not.
Which all was triggered by this post on yet another singleton developer taking on, inactively!, some well-funded TLA.

Will have to dive into the detail of it all, but know that I’ll end up losing the helicopter view. How many similar developments are out there, known or not? What stages of development, of deployment, of maturity, of starting to crack and leak are they all ..? It’s a hard life, this keeping up thing.

Hence, you deserve:
DSCN8926[As if moulded by a genetic algorithm, Porto]

Balloons, for joy and instruction

Anyone having an inkling of what the Second-Biggest G is about, knows about their conferences, about their ‘magic’ quadrants (despite the debunking of late; apparently one could pay oneself to the top right…), and about their infamous Hype cycle.

DSCN6170[What one needed to fight Siegfried King of the Netherlands of Xanten]
Bam, there’s your daily pic again, not unexpectedly I hope.

Well then. About hype cycles. You know them. And maybe have a laugh. Or not, and study them for the buzzwords you didn’t know yet.
But would you believe them; would you trust the predictions inherent in them? Probably not. And would you check on the predictions of years past ..? Probably not, also.

Turns out… Yours Truly was busy doing that, collecting data all the way back to 2008, and figuring out a way to graph the data. Which didn’t work too smoothly so I wanted to revert to first analyzing the data I had.
Turns out… Someone else already did the collection part, and the analysis part, too. As in this post; recommended reading.

After which I dropped it; no need to analyse. But to synthesize, there’s still a bit on the table:

  • Why do so and how many ;-| still ‘believe’ the hype cycles, look into them, and cheer when their favourite hypes are listed, somewhat ‘faithfully’..? Probably because the visualization is so strong, capturing so much essence in one pic. And because apparently people need such guidance ..?
  • How come so many of the hypes mentioned, fall flat ..? Or is it a matter of a lot of buck shot in the air, hoping a duck may fly through it ..? Which may also not be a bad thing if this would be clearer, as a caveat. Oh; I already found part of the answer in this Tim Harford post. This one on maps, too.
  • Why can’t people pick up the hypes much faster, as there’s obvious business profit in many of them ..? In particular, when so many fall off the radar, one would expect vigilant companies to profit from such new developments falling off their competitors’ radars. Just find a way to make it all work, for which you could even take a couple of years in skunk works, and then reap the benefits. Oh … – of a first mover; which may be too little too short to recoup the ploughing-through-development investments. As first movers are so often outdone by second-and-(much-)improved movers.

And yet, stil I feel there’s much more left on the table than one would need or certainly want to leave there. Once progress is identified, it better be brought on as quickly as possible.
At the scale as things are on the hcycle. Because the ethical ramifications play at a bigger scale. Wouldn’t 2nd-biggest G be interested to make a cycle of those issues ..? Think self-driving cars, ubiquitous/ambient data collection & storage & analysis, Bitcoin-et-al’s subversion of geography-based governments. You name it. A lot to cover &nndash; maybe requiring much more research into what’s at play and how the discussions progress, but still, very much worthwhile I guess. Beyond the tech hype’lets that fall off the bandwagon so easily. Towards prediction proper of where society’/ie’s heading…

Wired / Tired / Expired, October 2014 edition

DSCN6765[Ah, what a pleasant fortress! Córdoba]

Yes here’s the October edition of my Wired / Tired / Expired jargon watch overviews, a mixed bag again:

WIRED TIRED EXPIRED
Stealthy introductions Gartner Hype Cycles Apple Product (Launch) Events
Let the products speak for themselves, let them grow organically around the globe, don’t try in vein (sic) to go viral or so. Be happy with moderate growth as it will be sustainable so much, much longer. Don’t believe this hype … Will have a separate post on this in the near future. Nothing new; all hyped and epiphany only for the fast-shrinking few simpleton acolytes left…
Smart analysis integrated into regular audits Process Analysis Big Data
Like, let the process analysis take its place in the Understanding the Business part of any audit. No craze, just helpful in all sorts of directions (including early-on advisory work). For it’s own sake, no more. Not accepted, not acceptable anymore. Meh. If less than a yottabyte, not it. Tools in place, again the other 99.9999% of work to be done is human; which is not available in sufficiently intelligent, sufficiently large numbers. Hence, fails beyond the tiniest of anecdotal finds.
InfoSec groundswell / tsunami Hyping APTs, megaleaks RO(S)I, ISO, et al.
No more top-down, just bottom-up, by guerilla even if needed, but with a desperate need to improve by all (not granted) means and authorizations necessary. Doing, not waiting (not) to be allowed. Oh my! The Sky Is Falling! No more. APTs are still around, yes, vastly more than ever before; megaleaks of the data breach kind and of the Snowden kind, ditto. But nobody listens anymore so why dwell on these? Ah, the passé methods of yesteryears… Didn’t work. Didn’t fit with InfoSec, do still fit with corporate policy but who cares; if there’s no match, nothing will result. If you still try to match, also nothing (serious in InfoSec terms) will result.
3rd Platform Software Defined BYOD/CYOD
Where the first was Mainframes, the second one Client/Server. Now // Just a way to cement the bricks of your architecture. Well, there’s so much work in here if one’d want to do this right but few! the effort, I don’t want to think of this too much. Done deal. BYOD; CYOD’s not going to fly (discussed earlier, somewhere on this site; use the search, Luke!).
Ello Snapchat Whatsapp
Well, qua hype. Otherwise, very very maybe still Nice ‘n quick, but has it gained enough traction ..? Even your old, 30+ relatives use it now. If (dinosaur) Then (expired).
Ideate Empathy UX
Being creative and coming up with new ideas, needed its separate buzzword. Well, maybe. Will age quickly I guess. Yes all companies still need it, but none have a clue. Here I was wondering what all these flimsy design-types had to do with Unix. Turns out, it’s user experience – above good design, but stumbling till you accidentally hit something good, isn’t It. Has never been. But is; expired.
Don’t care about illegal downloads Chase the most petty, pityful of “illegal” downloaders only Push a U2 album
Just because your business model doesn’t depend on levying silly huge distribution costs. You know, trying to wring millions out of the poor that otherwise would not buy scrap from you, while you know the damages are 99.999% into the lawyer’s pockets only. Ah, the FAIL …! This deserves a (cultural) backlash flogging by the billions (yes) that weren’t interested…
Locally produced, biodynamic even but without the zeal Super foods Don’t Care
Yes one can eat/drink healthily but don’t need the fanatism. Just somewhat less, quite a bit healthier produced (full supply chain including externalities), and varied. Quod non; as proven over and over again. After so many, many failed attempts, don’t numbly try again; you’ll fail for sure. Eating all the preservatives and sweeteners, too much of it all, just isn’t ‘permissible’ anymore.
Decently colourful Normcore bland Grey all the way
Yes even in Fall/Autumn, there’s many colours (not colors) that fit the season and are cheerful and bright. It already looks formless, has the colours to match: Why? Duh, that was last year’s one big great miss without purpose.

OK, any suggestions for next month’s edition ..?

Cycle comments and questions

A certain commercial advisory club still releases its hype cycle. Which is good news; to have some authority with some authority (your mileage may vary) providing us with some comprehension and comprehensiveness [OK I’ll stop now] about the What’s Buzzworthy.
Still, being … in the field / Dutch / obnoxious, pick any; I’d like to comment…:
(Here’s the August version from … somewhere; ™ and © or what is it, acknowledged)
7330eb56-2177-11e4-89b4-12313d239d6c-large

  • Virtual Personal Assistants – 5 to 10 years out (of the plateau of productivity) ..? That’s optimistic ..!
  • Brain-computer interface: If one would consider this to be about ‘intelligence’ connection, then maybe. But there’s also connections like hearing, et al., where a 5 to 10 year span may be on the ‘long’ side.
  • Human augmentation: See the previous. Or aren’t definitions sufficiently orthogonal?
  • Affective computing: Hm, optimists.
  • Neurobusiness: Same.
  • IoT: Yes, at a hype peak. Maybe (much) sooner, to be at the plateau.
  • Cryptocurrencies: Hoping for a swifter spread and adoption…
  • Big Data may be further down the slope already. Or is that from where I / we are ..?
  • Gamification, augmented reality: Hopefully and quite possibly, already reality somewhat earlier.
  • The rest of the bunch … will they not come sooner ..? Of shift shape (‘pivot’) to be unrecognizable from their today’s hype labels soon?
     
  • And a final one: Would anyone have a similar overview of … one year, five and ten years back? Just to see what happen in the meantime; to establish a ballpark reliability figure. Would be fun, too.

I’ll leave you with this’all. Your comments are welcome(d). If you like to dream.

Pops off the Top

To get you in the mood, and involved, please check out the longlist of songs eligible for my [emphasis by author] Top 2000 Of All Times (link to clean Excel here).
Yes,

  • I’ll have to prune a bit, there’s more than 2000 now;
  • They’re sorted alphabetically on Artist so far, yes, yes. But my next thing to do is to recursively bin the lot into shrinking bin sizes, you know, like a good algorithmically sound sorter would;
  • If there might be songs you miss on the list, please comment with your suggestions. Which are totally non-binding as the list is mine (make your own, feel free to copy the Excel and adapt / deteriorate) so don’t be put off if your wacky addition(s) don’t make it to the final list;
  • Most importantly, if there’s things (songs) on the list you’d deem ridiculous, you may be right. But They’re my choice…

And the usual pic:
??????????[Way back from the 60s, would still be Good if built today like this]
To get you in the mood, check out this random sample…

Titles Artist
Donna 10CC
Dreadlock Holiday 10CC
I’m Not In Love 10CC
The Things We Do For Love 10CC
The Wall Street Shuffle 10CC
Me So Horny 2 Live Crew
I’m On Fire 5000 Volts
Aquarius / Let The Sunshine In 5th Dimension
Chiquitita ABBA
Dancing Queen ABBA
Eagle ABBA
Gimme Gimme Gimme ABBA
Knowing Me Knowing You ABBA
Mamma Mia ABBA
Money, Money, Money ABBA
S.O.S. ABBA
Summer Night City ABBA
Super Trouper ABBA
Take A Chance On Me ABBA
The Winner Takes It All ABBA
Voulez-Vous ABBA
Waterloo ABBA
All Of My Heart ABC
Back in Black AC/DC
Hells Bells AC/DC
Highway To Hell AC/DC
Let There be Rock AC/DC
Shoot to Thrill AC/DC
Thunderstruck AC/DC
Who Made Who AC/DC
Whole Lotta Rosie AC/DC
How Long ACE
Killer Adamski ft. Seal
Amazing Aerosmith
Crazy Aerosmith
Dream On Aerosmith
Dude Looks Like a Lady Aerosmith
Good Vibrations Beach Boys
I Can Hear Music Beach Boys
Sloop John B Beach Boys
Tears in the morning Beach Boys
Wouldn’t It Be Nice Beach Boys
Brass Monkey Beastie Boys
Hey Ladies Beastie Boys
Intergalactic Beastie Boys
No Sleep Till Brooklyn Beastie Boys
You Got To Fight For Your Right to Party Beastie Boys
Hey Jude Beatles
While My Guitar Gently Weeps Beatles
Loser Beck
Don’t Forget To Remember Bee Gees
How Can You Mend A Broken Heart Bee Gees
How Deep Is Your Love Bee Gees
I Started A Joke Bee Gees
Jive Talkin’ Bee Gees
Play That Funky Music Wild Cherry
Lion In The Morning Sun Will And The People
Het Dorp Wim Sonneveld
Live And Let Die Wings
CREAM Wu Tang Clan
Gravel Pit Wu Tang Clan
Protect Ya Neck Wu Tang Clan
Making Plans For Nigel XTC
Close To The Edge Yes
I’ve Seen All The Good People Yes
Owner Of A Lonely Heart Yes
Roundabout Yes
Yours Is No Disgrace Yes
7 Seconds Youssou N’Dour & Neneh Cherry
If I Can’t Have You Yvonne Elliman
In The Year 2525 Zager & Evans
Hair Zen
Gimme All Your Lovin’ ZZ Top
La Grange ZZ Top
Legs ZZ Top
Sharp Dressed Man ZZ Top

Sorry wasn’t able to find any good Zzz and the Zzzzzs songs… Now get going and come forward with your extension suggestions …!

Maverisk / Étoiles du Nord