IoT starts at the right end

of the products scale. As in #5 of this post.
#1 would be no surprise, by the way.

And, I’d also not be surprised when you(r company) haven’t considered similar changes. Isn’t IoT something that would not touch your business for decades to come, until you’re blown off the market in lees than five years; either by doing something stupid which you could always do, even today, or by some competitor that has dreamt up some game changer in their garage already yesterday ..? Go ahead and sleep ’till you’re no more. Change isn’t painless, sitting still is. Or isn’t it sleep, just being burnt out (as a company) (link in Dutch) ..?

I’ll leave you with this:
20140917_092605[1]
[At The Factory, indeed, Utrecht]

Steve and Tim went up the hill…

Aren’t recent developments around, through, by the brand just an amusing (?) sign of the times – the times being the same as ever: A (single?) sinus wave (or multiple smaller ones, stacked on a larger one (bigger wavelength and amplitude); wavelets sales) –, as in this piece and this one ..?

As the latter quotes: “This is not [irrelevant reference to a musicological drama; ed.], and should instead be remembered primarily as a monumental blunder by the tech industry.”
to which:

But the details aside, why didn’t many enough see this coming? Why did anyone expect continued excellence from any company, in particular one so hyped, so turned into a dangerous cult already ..? Whereas so far, every co has demonstrated to have a serious Best Before / use By / Sell By issue. Except the rare exceptions, noted for the exceptionality.
As in:

Adn also don’t forget these twelve wineries… Yes some are so common and/or famed still that you wouldn’t think they’d be so old and still be in the same line of business… [Thanks Wine Turtle for the post]

So, the expectance that something(s; probably multiple, of varying error sizes and (distinct) impacts) might go wrong in any near future, would have had to be raised already, and rise still further. Note that through fuzzy logic, this isn’t offset I think by lowered probabilities of doing things well…! This is just how fuzzy (business) logic works, sometimes…
[Edited to add: And then we find this… Strangely not built into the corp system]

So, Steve and Tim went up the hill to have their little fun, then Tim forgot by taking the blue pill and now…

DSCN2435[What a once great name … Reims. Yeah, look it up, I’m not going to spell it out for you]

Errrm, how to brick your car/office…

Though it was inevitable, this has arrived. The FourSixteen. Details and official pics here.
Which is of course all good; especially for the trickle down from the insane yet moneyed (re: the price tag) – note that I don’t mention ‘wealthy’ as that would refer to cultural development or common ethics and decency, that anyone seriously looking into this vehicle wouldn’t have – to the shop workers and onwards.

But in these Maker times … How would one go about modding one’s Prius ..? And how would one call a less-than-successful job at that? Bricking your ride..?

Anyway, totally (un)related, I’ll leave you with your mobile office:
20140917_144502[1]
[Yes it does have an office work bench for you. And wifi, once you plug in (??) a router]

Note (bank-, bankable); ICYMI

Hmmmmm… Who would be able to mine the easy pickings already, in the Bitcoin world ..? Who has sufficient resources, old-money wise and miners wise ..?

As the firsts through the gate may gain an insurmountable head start at the game of the future. Also, re this on the as yet ill-understood, hardly visible / overseeable spin-off world. DACs are just one part. When incumbent countries’ / nations’ and supra-governments find themselves competing not only with each other but also with anon societies existing virtually (non-geographically – though in the end, physical servers will have to be somewhere), will the latter be re-invented like wheels, with or without preventing the failures of history …?

Since it will be very interesting, sociologically, but still years away (I think…), this:
??????????[Guess where. Netherlands]

Wired / Tired / Expired, October 2014 edition

DSCN6765[Ah, what a pleasant fortress! Córdoba]

Yes here’s the October edition of my Wired / Tired / Expired jargon watch overviews, a mixed bag again:

WIRED TIRED EXPIRED
Stealthy introductions Gartner Hype Cycles Apple Product (Launch) Events
Let the products speak for themselves, let them grow organically around the globe, don’t try in vein (sic) to go viral or so. Be happy with moderate growth as it will be sustainable so much, much longer. Don’t believe this hype … Will have a separate post on this in the near future. Nothing new; all hyped and epiphany only for the fast-shrinking few simpleton acolytes left…
Smart analysis integrated into regular audits Process Analysis Big Data
Like, let the process analysis take its place in the Understanding the Business part of any audit. No craze, just helpful in all sorts of directions (including early-on advisory work). For it’s own sake, no more. Not accepted, not acceptable anymore. Meh. If less than a yottabyte, not it. Tools in place, again the other 99.9999% of work to be done is human; which is not available in sufficiently intelligent, sufficiently large numbers. Hence, fails beyond the tiniest of anecdotal finds.
InfoSec groundswell / tsunami Hyping APTs, megaleaks RO(S)I, ISO, et al.
No more top-down, just bottom-up, by guerilla even if needed, but with a desperate need to improve by all (not granted) means and authorizations necessary. Doing, not waiting (not) to be allowed. Oh my! The Sky Is Falling! No more. APTs are still around, yes, vastly more than ever before; megaleaks of the data breach kind and of the Snowden kind, ditto. But nobody listens anymore so why dwell on these? Ah, the passé methods of yesteryears… Didn’t work. Didn’t fit with InfoSec, do still fit with corporate policy but who cares; if there’s no match, nothing will result. If you still try to match, also nothing (serious in InfoSec terms) will result.
3rd Platform Software Defined BYOD/CYOD
Where the first was Mainframes, the second one Client/Server. Now // Just a way to cement the bricks of your architecture. Well, there’s so much work in here if one’d want to do this right but few! the effort, I don’t want to think of this too much. Done deal. BYOD; CYOD’s not going to fly (discussed earlier, somewhere on this site; use the search, Luke!).
Ello Snapchat Whatsapp
Well, qua hype. Otherwise, very very maybe still Nice ‘n quick, but has it gained enough traction ..? Even your old, 30+ relatives use it now. If (dinosaur) Then (expired).
Ideate Empathy UX
Being creative and coming up with new ideas, needed its separate buzzword. Well, maybe. Will age quickly I guess. Yes all companies still need it, but none have a clue. Here I was wondering what all these flimsy design-types had to do with Unix. Turns out, it’s user experience – above good design, but stumbling till you accidentally hit something good, isn’t It. Has never been. But is; expired.
Don’t care about illegal downloads Chase the most petty, pityful of “illegal” downloaders only Push a U2 album
Just because your business model doesn’t depend on levying silly huge distribution costs. You know, trying to wring millions out of the poor that otherwise would not buy scrap from you, while you know the damages are 99.999% into the lawyer’s pockets only. Ah, the FAIL …! This deserves a (cultural) backlash flogging by the billions (yes) that weren’t interested…
Locally produced, biodynamic even but without the zeal Super foods Don’t Care
Yes one can eat/drink healthily but don’t need the fanatism. Just somewhat less, quite a bit healthier produced (full supply chain including externalities), and varied. Quod non; as proven over and over again. After so many, many failed attempts, don’t numbly try again; you’ll fail for sure. Eating all the preservatives and sweeteners, too much of it all, just isn’t ‘permissible’ anymore.
Decently colourful Normcore bland Grey all the way
Yes even in Fall/Autumn, there’s many colours (not colors) that fit the season and are cheerful and bright. It already looks formless, has the colours to match: Why? Duh, that was last year’s one big great miss without purpose.

OK, any suggestions for next month’s edition ..?

Postdictions 2014-III

A progress report on the Predictions 2014 I made in several posts here, at the end of Q3.
I gathered some evidence, but probably you have much more of that re the items below. Do please raise your hand / comment with links; I’ll attribute my sources ;-]

First, of course, a picture:

[Iron fist, not often seen (by tourists anyway), Pistoia]
So, there they are, with the items collected from several posts and already updated once and twice before in this:

Trust Well, there’s this, and this on the financial penalties of trusting your assurance provider…
Identity See previous re the value of certificates. Otherwise, not much news this quarter.
Things The hackability of all sorts of home appliances has already become some sort of Mehhh… And apparently, there’s a spin-off in the IoBT …?
And there’s progress in the auxiliary channels/architectures… as here and here.
Social Not much. Some Ello bits, though. And more in the AI arena, as this shows.
Mobile Has gone to the Expired phase.
Analytics Wow, this one’s moving into the Through of Disillusionment quickly! Now get it to jump out at the other hand, as quickly.
Cloud Mehhh, indeed. May be in the Through of Disillusionment, or has gone into been there, done the grit work, no-one’s interested anymore.
Demise of ERP, the Turns out it’s very hard to fill vacancies in this arena, isn’t it? Due to the boredom to death surrounding them.
InfoSec on the steep rise Even if we haven’t seen enough on this!

On APTs: Only the most interesting hack attacks get into the news these days. Turns out they’re all this kind.
On certification vulnerabilities: In hiding. Still there. Ssssht, will hit. Suddenly.
On crypto-failures, in the implementations: Not much; passé.
On quantum computing: – still not too much –
On methodological renewal; as it was: Some progress here and there, but no ✓ yet.
Deflation of TLD See second link of Trust; Fourth line didn’t work, even.
Subtotal Already, with the previous follow-ups, clearly over 80% as we speak, when discounting for some fall-back here and there.

The faint of heart wouldn’t necessarily want to speak the bold characters out loud.
See you at the end of the year ..!

IoTSec from IAM at entry to the end node

Now that you all are so busy implementing Internet of Things pilots everywhere, I mean at home like with this and this, but B2B everywhere as well (…!?) or are you doing it there not too, we may need to consider Security.
Yeah, Hans Teffer did a great piece on that (see here, in Dutch) and I blogged about that before [and many more links/posts…]. And, there’s quite some other issues with IoT. But the point here is – we haven’t thought of security before implementation.
And at the very few implementation’lets of IoT we see so far, security seems absent. Of course, you’d first want to make it work in the first place. But you’re doing it not right at the start, and you know that decisions made now (implicitly) will remain in the architecture for decades to come, in particular when today’s (almost) stand-alone implem’s become linked up into one giant uncontrolled, uncontrollable mesh.

Now, first, an intermission:
DSCN0113
[At dawn]

So, ‘we’ all have been complaining about the security risks of IoT here and there and everywhere, in particular re the current risks of all sorts of industrial control being hooked up to the ‘net without anyone knowing or caring about proper sec.
And still then, we haven’t progressed beyond this Boy Crying Wolf position. Instead of moving to provide solutions. To begin with architecture ideas, the kind that we will need in order to branch out of the simpleton pilots.

On a walk, it struck me that one major part of any solution would be with Identification, Authentication (A1), and Authorisation (A2) – in particular at each and every end node in the network, the kinds you would want to reach to transit back to the Real, Physical world of Things and which are supposed to move ever closer to some form of smart dust… Whereas now, we often have the I and A1 usually at the front door, and the A2 somewhere in the/a network usually ‘near’ the end point (which also usually, is a relatively compute-enabled ‘large’ thing like a server with data).
Clearly, with the IoT we’ll need something else. All end points may float around somewhere out there, uncontrolled, un-tied-down in the giant global mesh network architecture. We will be systemically unable to tie any A2 server to an end point or vice versa (smart dust, spread out, remember), and the IA1-part will also be much, much less definable than it is today. But then, we’ll need much finer-grained access control at the end point, and much more flex at the (IA1) entry point or we leave it all free for all and only at the end point, the destination, check IA1 (again). For this IA1A2 at the end point, we need to consider:

  • The end point(s) will very probably have very limited computing capacity; even with Moore et al., this will still lag required resource in a big way – because any type of ‘attack(er)’ will have vastly more computing power available. Hence, things will need to be really really simple at this point. We may need to consider global IoT mesh network segmentation or other pervasive and comprehensively secure forms of IA1 at entry points (how to guarantee complete coverage) or throughout the mesh (how to prevent complete coverage without even the slightest possibilities of evasion).
  • Identities… ?? Where, how to manage the I’s and maintain the I+A1’s privacy, and transparency to the A2-owners ..?
  • How to arrange A2 at all those end points, including the ability to maintain those ..? The dust (or some coarser-grained proxy, whatever) is out there, and can’t easily be uploaded all with the latest A2 tables we’d want – or that is done by some broadcast flash approach which is all too vulnerable for cracked use.

But still, we need something of that kind. And transparency built in to that, too… To ensure No Backdoors and accountability in general, as these cute little hidden holes would be exploitable by all the bad guys (official, and not). By the way, #ditchcyber.

I’m aware there’s more problems than solutions in the above. But you should be aware of the risks of letting them remain unsolved. Your suggestions, please!

And, just so you know:

Cycle comments and questions

A certain commercial advisory club still releases its hype cycle. Which is good news; to have some authority with some authority (your mileage may vary) providing us with some comprehension and comprehensiveness [OK I’ll stop now] about the What’s Buzzworthy.
Still, being … in the field / Dutch / obnoxious, pick any; I’d like to comment…:
(Here’s the August version from … somewhere; ™ and © or what is it, acknowledged)
7330eb56-2177-11e4-89b4-12313d239d6c-large

  • Virtual Personal Assistants – 5 to 10 years out (of the plateau of productivity) ..? That’s optimistic ..!
  • Brain-computer interface: If one would consider this to be about ‘intelligence’ connection, then maybe. But there’s also connections like hearing, et al., where a 5 to 10 year span may be on the ‘long’ side.
  • Human augmentation: See the previous. Or aren’t definitions sufficiently orthogonal?
  • Affective computing: Hm, optimists.
  • Neurobusiness: Same.
  • IoT: Yes, at a hype peak. Maybe (much) sooner, to be at the plateau.
  • Cryptocurrencies: Hoping for a swifter spread and adoption…
  • Big Data may be further down the slope already. Or is that from where I / we are ..?
  • Gamification, augmented reality: Hopefully and quite possibly, already reality somewhat earlier.
  • The rest of the bunch … will they not come sooner ..? Of shift shape (‘pivot’) to be unrecognizable from their today’s hype labels soon?
     
  • And a final one: Would anyone have a similar overview of … one year, five and ten years back? Just to see what happen in the meantime; to establish a ballpark reliability figure. Would be fun, too.

I’ll leave you with this’all. Your comments are welcome(d). If you like to dream.

Diversified Reporting Assurance

Yes, let’s call it DRA. The new wave of “accountants’ statements” in the wings.
[Warning: for those not interested in accountancy, the rest will be boring. Or, let me restate that: very boring. Or even deadly boring.]
Continue reading “Diversified Reporting Assurance”

Be quick at Making or be like dead

When I noted an article (is it?) on Baidu Eye (all of you will certainly know by now what I mean…!?), it finally dawned on me: ‘we’ in the West (let’s say for purposes here, the 300M of Europe plus the 300M of North America) just don’t do enough rapid prototyping yet.
Because that’s the trade we have left to e.g., the Chinese when ‘we’ shipped our (rapid) product(ion) development to them.

Now, the sweatshop structure that sprang up to the side of that, is one huge landscape of rapid prototyping facilities. Which, if not ‘stealing’ (don’t start the legaleeze that’s way too dependent on cultural notions) product ideas before launch, or just slapping a different brand tag after (over)production, allows copycatting of products (commonly, of less quality or functionality) or of sparks of innovation (not taking a product as ideal model but as inspiration).

This somewhat fits the model of the Maker movement that springs up in the West. Is still springing up a bit, here and there. Was mentioned here and there, sparsely, and may have whittled into almost-oblivion already again ..?
Whatever; the Maker movement has a different focus, not on extremely-rapid prototyping to mass produce, but to keep it as close to one-offs as is feasible. Quite an opposite horizon!
And also leaving a vast playing field open for … others.

How can we change business / production culture to get, beside a Traditional and a Maker movement, a Happy Go Lucky Production movement where improvement-on-the-production-fly-cycles are much more rapidly learned from? (Much faster even than e.g., Samsung’s (and others’ like Apple!) fast-introduction-perfect-in-next-versions approach. But also taking this into account, for this reason!) No, just shouting around about tearing down bureaucratic rules won’t work; those rules are there to regulate the current rogues (big business, oligopolising everywhere) – I mean a real cultural shift. Is that what’s happening (or should happen) in some backwater country now that the 0.001% with help from the 1% has killed the previous mainstay power the Middle 80% ..?

Seriously, how can we rig, ground, lay the foundations, for such a Third Way ..? To get, e.g., this sort of initiatives far more widespread.

[Huh, since I wrote the above (couple of weeks ago), this came to light…]
[And this, the caveat you wanted …]

You (somewhere in the #=0 to #=3 range) have been such kind readers to even visit… hence I’ll leave you with:
DSCN7516[Freedom to consume; the mediocre! – Good, more authentic stuff, close by but elsewhere]

Maverisk / Étoiles du Nord